SPAL vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 1
SPA
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 2
CES
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 1
MOD
67%
22%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
BRE
3 - 0
SPA
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 1
COM
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
LEC
1 - 2
LAZ
48%
30%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
LEC
0 - 0
FCC
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
LEC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
ASS
1 - 1
LEC
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
LEC
0 - 0
PAD
58%
26%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |