SPAL vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
SAM
1 - 0
SPA
52%
28%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
SPA
1 - 2
INT
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
SPA
1 - 3
BOL
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 0
TOR
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
NAP
1 - 0
SPA
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
CAG
1 - 2
ROM
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
CAG
3 - 3
SAM
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAG
65%
22%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
CAG
2 - 2
MAN
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
CAG
3 - 1
FIO
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |