SPAL vs Brindisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
ASC
3 - 0
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAR
71%
21%
9%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
CAT
2 - 2
SPA
49%
31%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAL
55%
28%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
SPA
2 - 1
ASC
45%
23%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brindisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
BRI
0 - 0
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
PRG
2 - 0
BRI
40%
30%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
BRI
2 - 1
REG
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
AVE
2 - 3
BRI
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
BRI
0 - 0
ATL
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |