SPAL vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SPA
48%
30%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
SPA
3 - 1
ATL
49%
30%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
PRG
3 - 0
SPA
44%
32%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 2
TER
52%
29%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
REG
0 - 2
SPA
37%
34%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
BAR
62%
26%
13%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
ASC
2 - 0
BRE
65%
23%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
CAT
1 - 2
BRE
43%
33%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 0
BRI
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |