SPAL vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
USA
2 - 0
SPA
32%
31%
37%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 0
LEC
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
ASS
1 - 1
SPA
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
VER
1 - 0
SPA
37%
30%
33%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAR
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
BRE
1 - 1
VNZ
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
BRE
2 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
PAD
0 - 0
BRE
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
BRE
1 - 0
LEC
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
ASS
0 - 0
BRE
45%
28%
28%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |