SPAL vs Brescello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 1
SPA
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 2
SPA
49%
28%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 1
ABN
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 0
SPA
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 3
ACL
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
LEC
3 - 2
BRE
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
CES
1 - 0
BRE
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
BRE
4 - 1
REG
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 0
BRE
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |