SPAL vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
BAR
0 - 0
SPA
74%
18%
8%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
SPA
0 - 1
PIS
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
VNZ
1 - 0
SPA
68%
22%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
SPA
2 - 1
MOD
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
USC
1 - 0
SPA
75%
18%
8%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAD
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
FIA
1 - 1
BOL
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
BOL
0 - 0
REG
50%
28%
23%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
ASC
5 - 0
BOL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
BOL
1 - 0
TER
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |