SPAL vs Pro Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
LAQ
0 - 1
SPA
52%
28%
21%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
GRO
29%
28%
44%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 0
ACP
37%
28%
34%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TER
1 - 1
SPA
62%
22%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
SPA
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 3
TER
29%
27%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SAV
2 - 1
PIA
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ACP
0 - 1
PIA
65%
20%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 0
REG
27%
28%
45%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |