SPAL vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1980 |
PIS
0 - 0
SPA
62%
25%
13%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAR
71%
21%
8%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
GEN
2 - 2
SPA
62%
25%
13%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAM
55%
27%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
LEC
2 - 0
SPA
56%
27%
16%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1980 |
ATL
0 - 0
PIS
59%
27%
15%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
LEC
0 - 0
ATL
51%
30%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
ATL
3 - 1
ASS
49%
31%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
COM
1 - 0
ATL
52%
30%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
ATL
2 - 0
GEN
50%
30%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |