SPAL vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
COM
0 - 0
SPA
58%
26%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAL
59%
26%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
SPA
0 - 0
LEC
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
SSS
1 - 1
SPA
43%
32%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPA
43%
31%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1977 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAL
64%
24%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
ATL
0 - 0
SSS
63%
24%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
COM
0 - 0
ATL
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
ATL
4 - 1
NOV
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
ATL
49%
31%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |