SPAL vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1974 |
PRG
3 - 0
SPA
44%
32%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 2
TER
52%
29%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
REG
0 - 2
SPA
37%
34%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
BAR
0 - 0
SPA
40%
33%
28%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 1
REG
60%
26%
14%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1974 |
ATL
3 - 0
REG
55%
30%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
BRI
2 - 1
ATL
40%
30%
30%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAT
60%
28%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1974 |
BOL
3 - 1
ATL
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
FCC
0 - 0
ATL
44%
33%
23%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |