SPAL vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
PAL
1 - 3
SPA
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
CAT
0 - 0
SPA
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
SPA
0 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
SPA
1 - 2
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
UDI
0 - 0
SPA
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ATL
3 - 1
VNZ
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
INT
6 - 0
ATL
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
UDI
2 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
FIO
0 - 1
ATL
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
ATL
1 - 0
VIC
51%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |