SPAL vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
PAD
1 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
TOR
3 - 2
SPA
51%
23%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
ACM
4 - 0
SPA
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
SPA
1 - 1
UDI
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
SPA
1 - 0
LEC
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
INT
2 - 1
ATL
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ATL
1 - 1
UDI
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
ATL
4 - 1
FIO
29%
25%
45%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
VIC
1 - 0
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
ATL
2 - 2
JUV
21%
22%
57%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |