SPAL vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
SPA
1 - 0
GEN
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
SPA
0 - 0
ACM
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
TRI
3 - 0
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
SPA
0 - 1
PAL
57%
22%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
FIO
1 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 1
FIO
51%
24%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
ATL
3 - 2
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAM
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
TRI
3 - 2
ATL
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |