SPAL vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
SPA
0 - 1
JUV
25%
23%
51%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
SPA
1 - 0
ASL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
PAD
2 - 4
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
LAZ
4 - 1
SPA
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
SPA
2 - 1
NAP
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
ATL
1 - 2
ASL
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1952 |
PRO
1 - 1
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
TRI
3 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
ATL
2 - 0
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |