SPAL vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
REG
0 - 0
SPA
47%
28%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 3
VAR
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 1
SPA
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SPA
2 - 0
ASL
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
ABN
1 - 1
SPA
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SPE
1 - 2
CTT
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
ACL
4 - 4
SPE
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 0
TRE
41%
26%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SPE
2 - 2
ARZ
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2002 |
CES
1 - 0
SPE
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |