SPAL vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPA
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
SPA
3 - 1
ASS
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
TRE
4 - 0
SPA
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASL
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
LIV
3 - 3
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
CES
2 - 2
SPE
59%
22%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
PIS
0 - 1
SPE
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |