SPAL vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2001 |
CES
3 - 2
SPA
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
LEC
2 - 1
SPA
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
SPA
1 - 1
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 2
SPA
49%
28%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 2
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
ASL
3 - 1
SPE
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 0
ARZ
50%
24%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 1
SPE
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
REG
1 - 1
SPE
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |