SPAL vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
UNI
1 - 0
SPA
59%
19%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 0
ANC
82%
12%
7%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 2
SPA
36%
23%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
SPA
4 - 0
CAT
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 0
SIR
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
FAN
2 - 3
SPE
67%
17%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 1
SER
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
SPE
0 - 3
PIS
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
VNZ
1 - 1
SPE
59%
20%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
SPE
0 - 1
CAT
58%
20%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |