SPAL vs AS Bra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
USA
0 - 0
SPA
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 1
SPA
16%
23%
61%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAS
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
REN
0 - 0
SPA
30%
25%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BV5
2 - 1
SPA
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ASS
3 - 1
ASD
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 4
MAN
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
VIN
2 - 0
ASD
59%
22%
20%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ASD
0 - 3
DEL
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -3 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
RIM
4 - 1
ASD
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |