SPAL vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
COM
0 - 2
SPA
32%
29%
39%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 0
CTT
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 0
SPA
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
SPA
5 - 1
TER
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 1
SPA
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 1
FRO
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
LEC
3 - 1
ASC
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ASC
2 - 1
CRO
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 0
ASC
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ASC
3 - 0
USA
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |