SPAL vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
SPA
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
3 - 1
ABN
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MON
1 - 0
SPA
31%
27%
41%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SPA
0 - 0
MOD
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
ACL
3 - 1
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ABN
1 - 1
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CTT
2 - 0
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
VAR
3 - 1
ACL
65%
22%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LIV
0 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |