SPAL vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
26.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1982 |
CAT
1 - 1
SPA
61%
25%
14%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
SPA
0 - 0
RIM
59%
25%
16%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
SPA
1 - 0
CAV
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
VER
1 - 0
SPA
66%
23%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
SPA
0 - 3
SAM
46%
29%
25%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1982 |
PRG
2 - 1
VAR
53%
29%
18%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
VAR
2 - 0
LEC
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
BRE
0 - 0
VAR
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
VAR
3 - 1
PAL
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 0
VAR
42%
31%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |