SPAL vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SPA
2 - 1
ACP
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 1
SPA
45%
28%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 2
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
SPA
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 2
ARZ
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CTT
0 - 3
PAV
60%
22%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 0
CTT
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CTT
1 - 0
RIM
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
CTT
38%
29%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CTT
1 - 1
SAS
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |