SPAL vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 1
SPA
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 0
ARZ
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 0
SPA
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 0
CES
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ACL
0 - 1
SPA
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
CTT
0 - 1
PIS
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
TRE
3 - 1
CTT
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
CTT
2 - 1
ABN
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 2
CTT
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
CTT
0 - 0
ASL
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |