SPAL vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
SIE
1 - 1
SPA
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
VAR
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
SPA
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
3 - 1
ABN
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MON
1 - 0
SPA
31%
27%
41%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CTT
3 - 1
ABN
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 2
CTT
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
CTT
2 - 0
ACL
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 2
CTT
30%
27%
44%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CTT
2 - 0
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |