SPAL vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
46.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
PIS
0 - 0
SPA
57%
27%
16%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
SPA
2 - 2
VNZ
34%
30%
37%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPA
57%
26%
17%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
SPA
0 - 3
USC
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASC
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
BAR
3 - 1
TER
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
BAR
1 - 1
TOR
35%
31%
34%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
ASL
2 - 3
BAR
35%
31%
34%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
BAR
3 - 1
TAR
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
PIA
2 - 2
BAR
36%
30%
34%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |