SPAL vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
MOD
1 - 1
SPA
52%
21%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 1
VIC
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
USC
1 - 2
SPA
39%
23%
38%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 1
BRE
56%
21%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
FAN
2 - 3
SPA
48%
21%
31%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1950 |
BAR
3 - 1
ANC
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
TRE
1 - 1
BAR
54%
21%
25%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 0
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
BAR
0 - 1
VER
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
VNZ
2 - 0
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |