SPAL vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1951 |
LIV
1 - 2
SPA
36%
23%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
SPA
4 - 0
CAT
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
SPA
2 - 0
SIR
72%
16%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
VNZ
0 - 1
SPA
33%
23%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
BAR
0 - 0
SPA
26%
23%
51%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1951 |
ANC
1 - 4
SAL
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
FAN
3 - 0
ANC
80%
12%
9%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ANC
0 - 1
MOD
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
VER
4 - 2
ANC
77%
14%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 2
BAR
48%
23%
30%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |