SPAL vs Alzano Virescit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CES
2 - 3
SPA
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 1
PIS
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 1
ABN
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
TRI
1 - 0
SPA
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
SPA
3 - 1
REG
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ALV
1 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
ABN
2 - 0
ALV
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ALV
1 - 3
PAD
32%
26%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
ACL
3 - 0
ALV
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ALV
1 - 1
TRE
23%
26%
51%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |