SPAL vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
ASL
2 - 0
SPA
48%
28%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACL
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 0
SPA
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 0
NOV
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 1
SPA
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
REG
1 - 1
CTT
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
NOV
2 - 2
REG
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
REG
1 - 0
SAS
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PAD
2 - 0
REG
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
ACP
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |