SPAL vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
SPE
4 - 1
SPA
64%
21%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 1
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 1
SPA
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 2
TRE
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 0
SPA
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
REG
2 - 0
LEC
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
ASL
2 - 1
REG
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
REG
1 - 3
CAR
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
LIV
3 - 0
REG
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
REG
0 - 0
ABN
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |