SPAL vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 0
ACL
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
ARZ
0 - 0
SPA
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
USA
1 - 1
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
SPA
3 - 0
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
PIS
0 - 2
SPA
53%
27%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
LIV
5 - 0
REG
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
REG
0 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 3
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
REG
0 - 2
ASL
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
ABN
0 - 2
REG
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |