SPAL vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
LEC
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
SAN
2 - 2
SPA
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
SPA
0 - 1
PIS
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
USC
2 - 2
SPA
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
ASL
2 - 1
SPA
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
REG
0 - 0
SAN
70%
20%
11%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
PIS
2 - 0
REG
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
REG
1 - 2
LEC
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ABN
2 - 1
REG
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
SIE
2 - 1
REG
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |