SPAL vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
45.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
SPA
2 - 1
ATL
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
SPA
0 - 1
PIA
30%
28%
41%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
SPA
1 - 2
COS
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1993 |
VER
1 - 2
SPA
60%
25%
15%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
SPA
2 - 1
COS
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
EMP
1 - 0
REG
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
REG
1 - 3
REG
64%
23%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
VER
0 - 1
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
REG
2 - 1
ANC
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
FIA
1 - 1
REG
38%
30%
33%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |