SPAL vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPA
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
MOD
0 - 6
SPA
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
ACM
4 - 2
SPA
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
REG
2 - 0
MOD
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 0
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
REG
0 - 1
CAT
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
LIV
2 - 0
REG
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
REG
0 - 4
GEN
52%
23%
24%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |