SPAL vs Pro Sesto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.85
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
8%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
REG
1 - 0
SPA
72%
15%
13%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SPA
5 - 3
FAN
74%
15%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SPA
2 - 1
NAP
42%
23%
35%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 1
SPA
57%
20%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
SIR
1 - 0
SPA
43%
23%
34%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Sesto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 1
EMP
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
TAR
2 - 1
PRO
83%
10%
6%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 1
SAL
30%
28%
42%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 1
SIR
40%
22%
39%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
VIC
2 - 0
PRO
83%
10%
7%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | -1 |