SPAL vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
USA
5 - 0
SPA
46%
22%
32%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
SPA
8 - 2
TAR
76%
14%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
LIV
3 - 1
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
MOD
1 - 2
SPA
52%
21%
27%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 1
BRE
56%
20%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
ACP
0 - 1
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
SPE
5 - 1
ACP
78%
13%
9%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
ACP
1 - 3
SAL
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
FAN
2 - 1
ACP
73%
15%
13%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1950 |
ACP
3 - 4
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |