SPAL vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
11.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
USC
1 - 4
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 0
ASS
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BV5
2 - 3
SPA
19%
24%
56%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 3
TRA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
SPA
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PAV
2 - 1
SPE
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
PAV
1 - 0
PAG
23%
27%
50%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +3 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 1
PAV
71%
20%
9%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 3
PAV
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
PAV
0 - 1
FCS
58%
24%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |