SPAL vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
VIR
4 - 1
SPA
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 2
PIA
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPA
33%
25%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
RIC
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PIS
3 - 0
SPA
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 1
DEL
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 1
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
VNZ
3 - 2
ASS
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
ASS
0 - 0
VNZ
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |