SPAL vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ROM
4 - 1
SPA
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1961 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPA
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAM
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
SPA
2 - 1
PAD
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
UDI
1 - 2
SPA
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
MAN
1 - 2
ACM
27%
25%
49%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1961 |
MAN
2 - 0
PAL
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ATL
0 - 2
MAN
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
MAN
2 - 5
BOL
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
ROM
4 - 2
MAN
80%
12%
8%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |