SPAL vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
22.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 0
REG
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 0
SPA
34%
27%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 3
RAV
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
USC
0 - 0
SPA
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 1
VER
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ACL
2 - 2
SSS
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
RAV
2 - 0
ACL
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ACL
2 - 1
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
REG
2 - 1
ACL
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ACL
2 - 0
PAD
26%
28%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |