SPAL vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
NAP
3 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
SPA
2 - 2
INT
29%
25%
47%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
SAM
0 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
SPA
2 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPA
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
INT
2 - 2
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
UNI
3 - 0
PAL
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
UNI
2 - 1
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
FIO
4 - 0
UNI
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
UNI
5 - 1
NOV
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |