SPAL vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PIS
0 - 0
SPA
45%
29%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SPA
4 - 0
PRO
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CTT
0 - 1
SPA
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ACP
2 - 2
SPA
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 0
SAS
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CES
1 - 0
REG
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 2
CES
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CES
2 - 2
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SAS
1 - 0
CES
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CES
3 - 2
RIM
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |