SPAL vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
ACL
0 - 1
SPA
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
SPA
2 - 0
PIS
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 0
ALZ
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ACP
1 - 0
SPA
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 0
PIS
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
CES
3 - 2
ACP
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
REG
2 - 2
CES
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
CES
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
PRO
2 - 0
CES
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
CES
1 - 1
ARZ
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |