SPAL vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
SPA
5 - 4
BOL
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
MES
3 - 1
SPA
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
CAM
1 - 0
SPA
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
SPA
0 - 1
VER
18%
26%
57%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIC
32%
26%
43%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
CES
3 - 3
VER
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
CAM
1 - 2
CES
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
CES
0 - 1
BOL
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
MES
0 - 1
CES
47%
24%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1987 |
CES
2 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |