SPAL vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ANC
1 - 2
SPA
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 1
SAN
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PIS
2 - 1
SPA
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SPA
4 - 0
SAV
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
SPA
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 3
PIS
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LRO
2 - 2
ARZ
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 1
SIE
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ASL
0 - 0
ARZ
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 0
TER
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |