SPAL vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
17.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
FCC
2 - 1
SPA
56%
28%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 1
PES
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 1
REG
60%
25%
15%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
BRE
2 - 0
SPA
61%
25%
14%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
PAL
2 - 0
SPA
61%
25%
14%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 1
ARZ
64%
23%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
ARZ
2 - 3
PRG
43%
30%
27%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
PES
1 - 1
ARZ
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 1
USF
42%
31%
27%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 1
SSS
53%
27%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |