Spakenburg vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
DOV
0 - 5
SPA
39%
25%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SPA
3 - 2
KOZ
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SVG
1 - 1
SPA
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
SPA
3 - 1
NUN
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SPA
2 - 0
HSC
62%
20%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WIL
1 - 0
RJC
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
RJC
1 - 3
FEY
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VVV
3 - 5
RJC
34%
27%
38%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 1
HER
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
NEC
1 - 1
RJC
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |