Spakenburg vs Lisse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
SPA
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 4
CAP
75%
15%
10%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
KOZ
0 - 3
SPA
44%
23%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 1
SPA
27%
24%
50%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SPA
5 - 2
STE
85%
10%
5%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LIS
2 - 4
STE
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
RIJ
2 - 3
LIS
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LIS
1 - 1
DVS
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
RVV
1 - 1
LIS
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LIS
1 - 3
GVV
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |